Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.017428 0.019399 0.021379 0.023513 0.025742 0.027996 0.030443
2025-03-30 0.013222 0.016319 0.019570 0.023207 0.027133 0.031217 0.035766
2025-04-06 0.010342 0.014025 0.018040 0.022667 0.027785 0.033218 0.039371
2025-04-13 0.007837 0.011783 0.016259 0.021567 0.027571 0.034055 0.041503
2025-04-20 0.006707 0.010968 0.015955 0.021994 0.028930 0.036508 0.045292
2025-04-27 0.005375 0.009747 0.015053 0.021628 0.029305 0.037792 0.047720
2025-05-04 0.004179 0.008549 0.014070 0.021078 0.029392 0.038689 0.049657
2025-05-11 0.003500 0.007952 0.013767 0.021285 0.030312 0.040489 0.052568
2025-05-18 0.002775 0.007193 0.013195 0.021117 0.030752 0.041708 0.054793
2025-05-25 0.002037 0.006295 0.012372 0.020585 0.030718 0.042348 0.056331
2025-06-01 0.001488 0.005590 0.011748 0.020259 0.030897 0.043206 0.058091
2025-06-08 0.001003 0.004878 0.011056 0.019805 0.030888 0.043819 0.059547
2025-06-15 0.000675 0.004415 0.010750 0.019928 0.031692 0.045517 0.062416
2025-06-22 0.000335 0.003759 0.010125 0.019629 0.032000 0.046671 0.064711
2025-06-29 0.000096 0.003085 0.009387 0.019129 0.032022 0.047459 0.066561
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002291 0.008328 0.018114 0.031343 0.047370 0.067353
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002098 0.008280 0.018507 0.032454 0.049428 0.070657
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001680 0.007748 0.018170 0.032596 0.050294 0.072539
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001263 0.007131 0.017663 0.032490 0.050836 0.074018
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001090 0.006988 0.017853 0.033292 0.052484 0.076806
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000850 0.006635 0.017699 0.033619 0.053536 0.078872
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000573 0.006091 0.017209 0.033476 0.053988 0.080206
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000382 0.005685 0.016910 0.033572 0.054726 0.081872